Argentine President Millai: Argentina's economy will grow in 2025 and inflation will decline.US Central Command: The US military repelled the Houthi armed attack. On December 10, local time, the US Central Command said that two destroyers of the US Navy successfully repelled a series of weapons launched by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen when they crossed the Gulf of Aden from September 9 to 10. According to the statement, the destroyer intercepted and shot down several one-way attack drone systems and an anti-ship cruise missile. According to the US Central Command, the US Navy destroyer successfully repelled the Houthi armed attack during the transit from November 30 to December 1. (CCTV)CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.
Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.
The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Argentine President Millai: Argentina's economy will grow in 2025 and inflation will decline.Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.